Top College Basketball Picks Against Spread

Seth Abraham

2 min read

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08-12-2024

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This week's college basketball slate offers some intriguing matchups ripe for picking against the spread. While no prediction is foolproof, careful analysis of team performance, injuries, and recent trends can significantly improve your chances of success. Here are a few compelling options to consider:

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Longhorns

Kansas (+3.5): While Texas boasts a formidable roster and impressive home-court advantage, the Jayhawks have consistently proven themselves a resilient team capable of pulling off upsets. Their recent performances against strong opponents demonstrate a growing ability to handle pressure situations. The spread of 3.5 points seems overly generous, particularly given Kansas's recent defensive improvements and improved three-point shooting.

Reasoning: A key factor to consider is the potential for foul trouble on Texas's side. Their reliance on certain players could leave them vulnerable if those players accumulate fouls early. Kansas's balanced attack and defensive grit can keep this game close enough to cover the spread.

Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina (+6): The rivalry between Duke and North Carolina always adds an extra layer of unpredictability. While Duke holds a slight edge on paper, the Tar Heels' recent momentum and explosive offensive capabilities shouldn't be overlooked. A home game advantage for North Carolina also presents a considerable boost. Taking North Carolina at +6 points represents value considering the unpredictable nature of this fierce rivalry.

Reasoning: Historically, these games often come down to the wire. The spread reflects a somewhat inflated perception of Duke's current dominance. North Carolina's ability to maintain a high-scoring pace even against Duke's strong defense presents a genuine opportunity to cover the spread.

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans

Purdue (-2): Purdue's consistent offensive prowess and overall dominance throughout the season make them a strong favorite against Michigan State. While Michigan State is a capable opponent, their recent inconsistencies make Purdue the safer bet.

Reasoning: Purdue's superior depth and shooting efficiency should allow them to dictate the pace and maintain a comfortable lead throughout the game. The -2 spread accurately reflects Purdue's dominance, but a wager on Purdue could still provide value given their consistently strong performances.

Disclaimer: These picks are based on analysis at the time of writing and are not a guarantee of success. Sports betting involves inherent risk, and it is crucial to gamble responsibly. Always conduct your own research before placing any bets. Team performance can fluctuate, and unexpected events can influence the final outcome.